Everyone focuses on sold prices and competing prices. Why? Because this is vital information when pricing your home. You need to know what homes around you are selling for and this also comes into play with the appraisal. Even if someone gives you the price you want, it still has to appraise.
The other factor is competing homes. If you are the highest priced home, even with really great features, chances are that you will not be the first to sell. Buyers are looking for low prices and figure they can upgrade over time any features that are not to their liking.
Lets talk about the much-overlooked but vital tool in analyzing your property and the odds of it selling. In any given market, in any given time, only so many properties will sell. This is known as ‘Absorption Rate’. In other words, how many months of inventory is available? Let me provide a simplified example, although there is more precision involved when evaluating a property:
Lets say if in 6 months 5112 properties sold in your county. That would be an average of 852 properties sold per month. If you then take the current active listings, lets use 7333 and divide it by the average homes sold per month, you would have a 8.6 month inventory. If no other properties come on the market, it would take 8.6 months to sell everything. Lets go further. Take those 5112 properties sold in 6 months and divide that by the number of closed, active, expired, withdrawn listings in the same 6 months and you would come up with a 29% probability of selling your property.
How does this impact you? It helps you determine how you are going to price your property to get it sold. If you price it too high, the probability of your property selling soon is unlikely. Your agent is in charge of the process. You, the seller, are in charge of the decisions and how competitive you are going to be.